Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.003624 0.003805 0.003990 0.004194 0.004413 0.004640 0.004895
2025-07-27 0.003282 0.003548 0.003832 0.004157 0.004522 0.004920 0.005389
2025-08-03 0.003068 0.003381 0.003724 0.004130 0.004599 0.005127 0.005772
2025-08-10 0.002900 0.003246 0.003632 0.004099 0.004652 0.005293 0.006099
2025-08-17 0.002820 0.003199 0.003631 0.004164 0.004812 0.005581 0.006577
2025-08-24 0.002708 0.003107 0.003569 0.004149 0.004868 0.005741 0.006899
2025-08-31 0.002604 0.003017 0.003503 0.004122 0.004903 0.005870 0.007182
2025-09-07 0.002499 0.002920 0.003422 0.004070 0.004901 0.005948 0.007398
2025-09-14 0.002402 0.002829 0.003343 0.004015 0.004890 0.006009 0.007592
2025-09-21 0.002343 0.002781 0.003313 0.004021 0.004954 0.006170 0.007923
2025-09-28 0.002230 0.002662 0.003192 0.003902 0.004848 0.006096 0.007925
2025-10-05 0.002178 0.002617 0.003161 0.003898 0.004893 0.006227 0.008218
2025-10-12 0.002151 0.002605 0.003172 0.003951 0.005018 0.006475 0.008695
2025-10-19 0.002089 0.002544 0.003119 0.003915 0.005020 0.006549 0.008921
2025-10-26 0.002035 0.002493 0.003075 0.003890 0.005035 0.006640 0.009175
2025-11-02 0.001983 0.002441 0.003030 0.003861 0.005041 0.006719 0.009412
2025-11-09 0.001968 0.002439 0.003050 0.003922 0.005177 0.006991 0.009965
2025-11-16 0.001926 0.002400 0.003018 0.003908 0.005203 0.007101 0.010266
2025-11-23 0.001883 0.002356 0.002979 0.003883 0.005212 0.007182 0.010522
2025-11-30 0.001833 0.002304 0.002925 0.003835 0.005184 0.007206 0.010683
2025-12-07 0.001785 0.002251 0.002871 0.003784 0.005150 0.007219 0.010823
2025-12-14 0.001758 0.002228 0.002856 0.003789 0.005200 0.007363 0.011197
2025-12-21 0.001693 0.002150 0.002764 0.003679 0.005070 0.007216 0.011053